Louis Alfred Nickolas Stalwart Institute

In this Insert of the National Divorce Series, I’d like to take some to explain how I define a Red State – and why I think some of the Red States aren’t actually Red.

The way I define a Red State is:

A state that has been a reliable Red State since the 2008 Presidential Election.

By THIS definition of Red State, only the following are Red States:

1. Alabama
2. Alaska
3. Arkansas
4. Idaho
5. Indiana
6. Kansas
7. Kentucky
8. Louisiana
9. Mississippi
10. Missouri
11. Montana
12. Nebraska
13. North Dakota
14. Oklahoma
15. South Carolina
16. South Dakota
17. Tennessee
18. Utah
19. West Virginia
20. Wyoming

To be sure, there are other ways to define Red State. Namely, most would contend that a Red State is a state where the Republican Party has consistently controlled the Governor’s Mansion and the state’s Legislature. The Presidential Election is the better metric to use, because it is the sole election in the country where the Electorate are asked the same question about the same candidates: who do you most align with ideologically?

Nonetheless, these are the states that I see forming what I have been referring to as “the New Confederacy.”

If you identify as a Christian Nationalist or as an individual who is Hard Right but not Christian, then these are perhaps the only 20 states in the Union that are safe for you to relocate to.

I strongly believe that the National Divorce must begin with those of us on the Hard Right not only relocating to these states, but capturing Political and Economic Power in these states so as to ensure that our Values/Mores/Customs become the core of the Socio-Cultural Identity of these states.

While the following states were Red States in the 2024 Presidential Election, I want to offer a rationale as to why I don’t think any of them are:

1. Florida – Florida’s Politics is controlled by Neoconservatives, who are now more Socially Liberal than they were in the 1980’s and 1990’s. While the Electorate of Florida swung heavily for Republicans in 2022 and 2024 across several elections, most of the Electorate prioritise Economic Freedom over preservation of Traditional Customs/Values/Mores, which means they’ll refrain from voting for any candidate who prioritises Social Conservatism over Economic Liberalism. The Demographics of Florida, which leans Hispanic but also contains a significant minority of West Indians, has resulted in the Electorate in Southeastern Florida leaning Liberal – despite the shift of Miami-Dade and Broward Counties leaning Red in various elections since 2024.
2. Georgia – While Georgia leaned Red in the 2024 Presidential Election and has a Republican Governor and controls the state’s Legislature, an influx of Foundational Black Americans, West Indians, and Sub-Saharan Africans into the Greater Atlanta Metropolitan Area means that Liberals retain some effective control over the political process in the state.
3. North Carolina – like Florida, North Carolina saw an influx of individuals fleeing deep Blue States during the “COVID-19 Pandemic.” These individuals have all but ensured that, barring a rigorous programme by state republicans to craft state policy to encourage Progressive Liberals, Neoliberals and Neoconservatives to leave and not relocate the state, it is likely that North Carolina will continue to have a divided Government until the Democrats can fully take control of the Governor’s Mansion and State Legislature.
4. Pennsylvania – the work of Scott Pressler aside, Pennsylvania will always lean Liberal because Liberals in the state are far more Politically Active than Conservatives. While there have been some changes, only a turning of the generations will be proof positive that the socio-cultural outlook of the state is genuinely conservative.
5. Texas – Like Florida, Texas Politics is controlled by Neoconservatives. Unlike Florida, however, the Hard Right in Texas is actively engaging in fierce battles with Texas Neoconservatives to take Political Control of the state. The issue for Texas is the influx of Neoliberals and Neoconservatives into the state, largely for Economic reasons, has changed the socio-cultural, and thus, political, character of the state. The Hard Right in Texas does in fact recognise that state policy must be carefully crafted to encourage Progressive Liberals, Neoliberals and Neoconservatives to leave and not relocate the state. The mid-Decade re-districting in Texas is a perfect example of this.

IF any of these five states succeed in becoming staunchly Red, it will be Texas. The Hard Right in Texas are deadly serious about turning the tide in their state. What’s more, they’re very close to achieving their object. Unfortunately, they need more time. Given that “no one knows the day or the hour,” the Hard Right in Texas is rolling the dice by planting their flag in Texas and not relocating to a more staunchly Red State.

My advise to the Hard Right in Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania is to refrain from investing precious Time, Talent and Treasure in turning the apparatuses in those states towards the Hard Right, as it is too gargantuan of a task.

Instead, we (I am currently located in Southeastern Florida) need to pick a staunchly Red State, relocate there, and invest the Time, Talent and Treasure there to ensure that those states remain staunchly Red.